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Short Course of Hormone Therapy May Slightly Increase Lupus Flare Rate 

 

June 24, 2005 —A short course of hormone therapy (HT) is associated with a small risk of flare of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), according to the results of a randomized, double-blind trial published in the June 21 issue of the Annals of Internal Medicine.

"There is concern that exogenous female hormones may worsen disease activity in women with SLE," write Jill P. Buyon, MD, from the Hospital for Joint Diseases of New York University School of Medicine, and colleagues. "However, health issues specific to women warrant attention and need to be confronted in patients with SLE. Although long-term HRT is not currently recommended, short-term salutary effects include treatment of hot flashes and vaginal dryness."

The Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus, National Assessment (SELENA) trial consisted of two separate randomized, placebo-controlled, multicenter studies, including the trial of HT vs placebo reported here. This noninferiority trial conducted from March 1996 to June 2002 was designed to determine the effect of conjugated estrogens and cyclic progestins on disease activity in postmenopausal women with SLE.

At 16 university-affiliated rheumatology clinics or practices in 11 U.S. states, 351 menopausal patients were randomized to 12 months of treatment with active drug (0.625 mg of conjugated estrogen daily, plus 5 mg of medroxyprogesterone for 12 days per month) or placebo. Mean age was 50 years; 81.5% had inactive and 18.5% had stable SLE.

Follow-up rate at 12 months was 82% for the HT group and 87% for the placebo group, and the primary endpoint was occurrence of a severe flare as defined by SELENA–SLE Disease Activity Index composite.

During the 12-month study, the severe flare rate was 0.081 for HT and 0.049 for placebo (estimated difference, 0.033; P = .23; upper limit of the one-sided 95% confidence interval for the treatment difference, 0.078, which was within the prespecified margin of 9% for noninferiority).

Mild to moderate flare rates were 1.14 flares per person-year for HT and 0.86 flare per person-year for placebo (relative risk, 1.34; P = .01). The probability of any type of flare by 12 months was 0.64 with HT and 0.51 with placebo (P = .01).

In the HT group, one patient died, one had a stroke, two had deep venous thrombosis, and one developed thrombosis in an arteriovenous graft. In the placebo group, one patient developed deep venous thrombosis.

Study limitations are lack of generalizability to women with high-titer anticardiolipin antibodies, lupus anticoagulant, or previous thrombosis.

"Adding a short course of HRT is associated with a small risk for increasing the natural flare rate of lupus," the authors write. "Most of these flares are mild to moderate. The benefits of HRT can be balanced against the risk for flare because HRT did not significantly increase the risk for severe flare compared with placebo."

The National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, an agency of the National Institutes of Health, supported this study. Wyeth-Ayerst Pharmaceuticals provided the study drug (Premarin or cyclic Provera) and matching placebo without cost. The authors report no potential financial conflicts of interest.

Ann Intern Med. 2005;142:953-962

 

 

 

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